The good news is that the army seems to be taking the current threat seriously in both Ladakh and Kashmir. A friend who is there tells me eastern Ladakh is now “like a fortress”, and a Kashmiri friend says new pickets and bunkers have come up in places like Lolab near Kashmir’s Line of Control over the past couple of weeks.
Kashmiris have also seen a lot of military hardware moving during the past few months.
Meanwhile, The Hindu reported this weekend that an intelligence officer revealed in Chennai that “a Central agency” had cautioned “all States and Central Armed Paramilitary Forces … that armed terrorists owing allegiance to ISIS-K, Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed could attempt to aggressively infiltrate into India, particularly Jammu & Kashmir”.
Maximum alertness is required in late October and November, especially if the ISI/Taliban consolidate control of Afghanistan this month. More likely, action could begin in spring 2022, perhaps from the east in late…