Indian government expenditure needs to be focused on development given the growth needs and the interim budget intentions signal that the general government debt-GDP ratio could decline to 73.4 per cent by 2030-31, around 5 percentage points lower than the IMF’s projected trajectory of 78.2 per cent, a research paper by RBI showed.
“With recalibration of government expenditure, the general government debt-GDP ratio is projected to decline to 73.4 per cent by 2030-31, around 5 percentage points lower than the IMF’s projected trajectory of 78.2 per cent,” said a paper by Michael Debabrata Patra, Samir Ranjan Behera, Harendra Kumar Behera, Shesadri Banerjee, Ipsita Padhi and Saksham Sood. The views are not necessarily that of the Reserve Bank of India. India’s general government debt would exceed 100 per cent of GDP in the medium-term and hence further fiscal tightening is needed.
The authors’ baseline projection suggests that the debt-GDP ratio will chart a secular…
