On June 1, 41% of Maharashtra’s Covid-19 cases were outside of Mumbai. As the lockdown has opened and testing has increased, Covid-19 cases in the rest of the state have grown. By September 23, 85.7% of Maharashtra’s cases were outside of Mumbai.
As the fourth phase of opening the lockdown proceeds apace, some districts that currently have few cases of Covid-19 should brace for a surge, experts warn. An analysis of data from the three states with the most active Covid-19 cases shows that almost all of their districts are at risk of a surge, based on test positivity rate and doubling time.
We analysed Covid-19 testing data over six weeks to September 20 for 36 districts across Maharashtra, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh. Only two districts had the epidemic somewhat under control as seen from their positivity rates and doubling times.
The total lockdown that started March 24…
